Latest Doom Scenarios (see map below)

More polling results are becoming available in House races across the country, and that is significant. As Election Day nears pollsters move to their "likely voter" methodology, and also start polling districts that were considered lost causes to one party or the other. The shocking results that seats in solid blue territory are in play or the incumbent is under that 50% threshold in those districts is very bad news for Dems. A quick look at the RCP averages for the House races shows that 212 are firmly Republican, lean R, or likely R,  it is astonishing considering they only hold 178 currently. Then you start to add in the toss ups, which RCP has at around 39. If this is truly a wave election, anywhere from 60-70% of those should fall in line with the Republicans. All spelling out DOOM and a fairly significant R pickup ranging up to around 52-53 seats (1994 territory)

There is plenty of time though for some of the most disenchanted of Democrat voters to come home by election day and save some of these seats. Is that possible? Yes. Is it likely? No. The latest Gallup numbers here also had to drive a stake through any hopes of saving the House for Democrats. In the higher and lower turnout models, the preference for the Republican candidate is significant. Combine that with news like this and this and November 2nd is shaping up to be a fun night for Republicans across the country.