Tuesday, November 9, 2010

Updated Top Ten List And Final Election Day Analysis

I wrote a column a week before the midterm showcasing the races where I most wanted defeat for the Democrats. Well not bad, I batted .500, which if I were playing baseball I would be in the hall of fame. Since I am not playing nor am I going into ANY hall of fame, I will hold back on the self congratulations. It worked out that my bottom three and top two got fired last week. Well at least them returning to the private sector will create or save a job in their districts, we should treat it as good news. Somehow Raul Grijalva held on in AZ-7 against political newcomer and rocket scientist Ruth McClung  by about three points, the others that survived on my list all got varying degrees of scare put into them. Rush Holt, Frank Pallone, Barney Frank, and John Dingell survived with much lower than usual victory margins. In districts were the Democrat usually wins these races with 65-70% of the vote (except AZ-7...it's nominally Democrat), Dingell did the best of all with 57%.

Now to the guys who did make it in, congrats to Allen West (FL-22), Michael Grimm (NY-13), Bobby Schilling (IL-17), Mike Kelly (PA-3), and the dragonslayer Daniel Webster(FL-8). Alan Grayson is now available for any segment on The Ed Show come January, fantastic.

The hope is for this wave election to not be in vain, the American people must hold the new majority accountable for any straying from limited government principles. This is the girl that got you to the dance so now it's time to deliver. Continue fighting for those principles, continue to show that we as a nation have a clear alternative between two parties that see this country very differently. If you can consistently show that, the Democrats are the ones who become the regional party. They will hold the Northeast (and even that is slipping from them), West Coast and select cities and that's really it. If you look at the map I posted yesterday it is almost a carbon copy of how the voting went in 2004 for President Bush. Republicans must also start to make inroads with Latino voters as President Bush had in 2000 and 2004. This is where a smart Republican face on the issue of legal immigration like Marco Rubio can be a huge asset. His ability to talk to Latinos and his overall articulation of conservative principles makes him a powerful weapon to have. If the party and leadership plays their cards right, it will actually be quite easy to oust the sitting President in two years*.

With that being said I leave you with Marco's words on election night. He shows he understands that this is not an embrace of the brand of Republican but a second chance for them to get it right, to deliver on the right principles going forward:

*barring any domestic terror attack or extremely dramatic improvement in the economy

Monday, November 8, 2010

Back From Vacation

To my dedicated (but sparse) readership I apologize for being away so long, especially considering the big election last week. That's a quick way to get my political blogging membership card revoked. Last Tuesday was a big day and I hope all of you went out there and did your part to bring victory and stop the liberal progressive agenda. And if you happen to be one of those liberals here is a souvenir I brought back from my break:

Who's the regional party now?

The danger here is for the Republican Party to misread what happened here last week. It was not an open embrace for the brand of Republican, it was a full out rebuke of progressivism. Quite simply just that, and if they go back to their own big government tendencies they had in the last couple years of their majority, they will be banished to the hinterlands for a long time to come. I do not believe that will happen, for one the leadership is different. John Boehner is a tough bastard and is no Newt Gingrich with higher aspirations. He has set out the course of Congress already by making it clear that they are there to respond to the President's agenda and speak for the voters that sent them there to oppose that agenda. That is all the House can do without having the White House and Senate under the same party rule. Without the authority to override a Presidential veto, you don't really have the power to force their hand. It is the beauty of the design of our bicameral legislative body. What you can do is force the President to sit down with you to get anything through. In the House you have the purse strings, so when Obama sends you a budget replete with big spending, hack it up. In an odd twist it may be a good thing to have the Senate still controlled by Democrats, President Obama can't paint the Republicans as obstructing the agenda or position himself as Harry Truman and call this the "Do-Nothing" Congress. With 30 plus Senate seats up for re-election in two years (majority of them Democrats) the clear incentive for those due to lose their jobs in 2012 is to listen to what the electorate screamed out so loud and clear last Tuesday, "Enough of big government!".

Secondly, and most important, the people going to D.C. are committed to limited government principles and will form a more right leaning coalition than even what was present after 1994's takeover. The force of the Tea Party will also be holding a lot of these Reps' feet to the fire for any acquiescence to liberalism. So it will be interesting to see how the President starts to position himself and if he actually learned anything over the last two years. Will he actually understand the country he is governing, limited government is the tradition and if he doesn't grasp that fact it could be a long two years until we get his replacement.

It's obvious that some on the left still do not get it. Hearing that Pelosi wants to maintain her leadership has some of the few moderates left in the Democrat caucus shaking their heads and openly announcing a challenge to her becoming Minority Leader. It would be a devastating blow to the Democrats' national chances in 2012 if she gets her wish, since it would leave in place the same triumvirate of Obama-Reid-Pelosi as the faces of the party. Ouch.